The results of the U.S. election won’t profoundly change the course of American governance over the next generation. That hardly anyone saw these results coming, might. The extraordinary polling errors in recent elections on both sides of the Atlantic portend a dramatic change in the way politics operate—if we’re lucky.

To see why, you need first to set aside whatever dudgeon you harbor about pollsters’ systemic failure to predict electoral outcomes in recent cycles. U.S. pollsters got it more or less wrong in 2012, 2014,…


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